# Supply Chain Digital Twin MCP (`ryanclinton/supply-chain-digital-twin-mcp`) Actor

MCP intelligence server for supply chain digital twin detection and analysis.

- **URL**: https://apify.com/ryanclinton/supply-chain-digital-twin-mcp.md
- **Developed by:** [ryan clinton](https://apify.com/ryanclinton) (community)
- **Categories:** AI, Developer tools
- **Stats:** 2 total users, 1 monthly users, 100.0% runs succeeded, NaN bookmarks
- **User rating**: No ratings yet

## Pricing

Pay per event + usage

This Actor is paid per event and usage. You are charged both the fixed price for specific events and for Apify platform usage.

Learn more: https://docs.apify.com/platform/actors/running/actors-in-store#pay-per-event

## What's an Apify Actor?

Actors are a software tools running on the Apify platform, for all kinds of web data extraction and automation use cases.
In Batch mode, an Actor accepts a well-defined JSON input, performs an action which can take anything from a few seconds to a few hours,
and optionally produces a well-defined JSON output, datasets with results, or files in key-value store.
In Standby mode, an Actor provides a web server which can be used as a website, API, or an MCP server.
Actors are written with capital "A".

## How to integrate an Actor?

If asked about integration, you help developers integrate Actors into their projects.
You adapt to their stack and deliver integrations that are safe, well-documented, and production-ready.
The best way to integrate Actors is as follows.

In JavaScript/TypeScript projects, use official [JavaScript/TypeScript client](https://docs.apify.com/api/client/js.md):

```bash
npm install apify-client
```

In Python projects, use official [Python client library](https://docs.apify.com/api/client/python.md):

```bash
pip install apify-client
```

In shell scripts, use [Apify CLI](https://docs.apify.com/cli/docs.md):

````bash
# MacOS / Linux
curl -fsSL https://apify.com/install-cli.sh | bash
# Windows
irm https://apify.com/install-cli.ps1 | iex
```bash

In AI frameworks, you might use the [Apify MCP server](https://docs.apify.com/platform/integrations/mcp.md).

If your project is in a different language, use the [REST API](https://docs.apify.com/api/v2.md).

For usage examples, see the [API](#api) section below.

For more details, see Apify documentation as [Markdown index](https://docs.apify.com/llms.txt) and [Markdown full-text](https://docs.apify.com/llms-full.txt).


# README

## Supply Chain Digital Twin MCP

A Model Context Protocol server that constructs a live digital twin of multi-tier supply chain networks. Fuses corporate registry, trade flow, natural hazard, geospatial, and intelligence data from **17 Apify actors** into a unified graph, then applies network science, game theory, and causal inference to simulate disruptions, optimize logistics, and forecast demand.

### Tools (8)

| ## | Tool | Method | Price |
|---|------|--------|-------|
| 1 | `simulate_disruption_cascade` | Interdependent network percolation (Buldyrev et al. 2010) + cross-entropy importance sampling | $0.040 |
| 2 | `optimize_logistics_transport` | Semi-discrete optimal transport, Kantorovich dual, Wasserstein distance | $0.040 |
| 3 | `model_adversarial_interdiction` | Tri-level Stackelberg attacker-defender-attacker via Benders decomposition | $0.045 |
| 4 | `estimate_supplier_survival` | Competing risks Cox proportional hazard model with cause-specific cumulative incidence | $0.035 |
| 5 | `reinforce_network_resilience` | Algebraic connectivity (Fiedler λ₂) maximization via SDP relaxation | $0.040 |
| 6 | `compute_input_output_impact` | Leontief inverse (I-A)⁻¹ via Neumann series, Ghosh supply-side multiplier | $0.035 |
| 7 | `identify_causal_disruption_paths` | Fuzzy RDD with Imbens-Kalyanaraman optimal bandwidth selection | $0.035 |
| 8 | `forecast_multi_scale_demand` | Rao-Blackwellized particle filter for hierarchical state-space decomposition | $0.030 |

### Data Sources (17 actors across 5 categories)

**Corporate (3):** OpenCorporates, UK Companies House, GLEIF LEI
**Trade (3):** UN COMTRADE, World Bank Indicators, Exchange Rates
**Hazard (5):** USGS Earthquake, NOAA Weather, GDACS Disasters, FEMA, OpenAQ Air Quality
**Spatial (1):** Nominatim Geocoder
**Intelligence (5):** OFAC Sanctions, OpenSanctions, Censys, Website Changes, SAM.gov Contracts

### Mathematical Foundations

#### Tool 1: Disruption Cascade — Interdependent Network Percolation

Models supply chains as interdependent networks where failure in one layer triggers cascades across layers. The percolation threshold p_c marks the critical fraction of node failures that triggers a **first-order phase transition** (catastrophic network collapse). Cross-entropy importance sampling efficiently estimates rare cascade probabilities by tilting the failure distribution toward high-impact events.

#### Tool 2: Logistics Transport — Semi-Discrete Optimal Transport

Solves the **Kantorovich relaxation** of the Monge problem: find the transport plan π that minimizes total cost ∫c(x,y)dπ(x,y) subject to marginal constraints. The dual formulation yields shadow prices (Lagrange multipliers) for each capacity constraint. The **Wasserstein distance** W₁(μ,ν) gives the minimum total transport cost between supply and demand distributions.

#### Tool 3: Adversarial Interdiction — Tri-Level Stackelberg

Formulates supply chain protection as a three-player sequential game: **defender** fortifies edges → **attacker** interdicts unprotected edges → **operator** routes flow through surviving network. Benders decomposition iteratively tightens upper and lower bounds until convergence to the Stackelberg equilibrium.

#### Tool 4: Supplier Survival — Competing Risks Cox Model

Models supplier failure as a **competing risks** process where multiple failure modes (financial distress, operational disruption, geopolitical instability) compete to cause exit. Cause-specific hazard functions h_k(t|X) = h₀_k(t)·exp(β_k'X) allow different covariates to drive different failure modes. The **cumulative incidence function** F_k(t) properly accounts for the probability of failing from cause k before being censored by other causes.

#### Tool 5: Network Resilience — Algebraic Connectivity

The **Fiedler value** λ₂ (second-smallest eigenvalue of the graph Laplacian L = D - A) measures how well-connected a network is. Higher λ₂ means faster mixing, better fault tolerance, and harder to disconnect. The SDP relaxation max λ₂(L + Σ w_ij·L_ij) subject to Σ w_ij ≤ budget finds the optimal set of edges to add for maximum resilience improvement.

#### Tool 6: Input-Output Impact — Leontief Inverse

The **Leontief demand-driven model** x = (I-A)⁻¹·d gives total output x required to satisfy final demand d, where A is the matrix of technical coefficients (a_ij = intermediate input from sector i per unit output of sector j). The Neumann series (I-A)⁻¹ = I + A + A² + ... converges when the spectral radius ρ(A) < 1. **Forward linkages** measure a sector's importance as a supplier; **backward linkages** measure its importance as a buyer. The **Ghosh supply-side multiplier** B = (I-G)⁻¹ captures output allocation effects.

#### Tool 7: Causal Disruption Paths — Fuzzy RDD

**Regression discontinuity design** exploits sharp thresholds in treatment assignment to estimate causal effects. The fuzzy variant handles probabilistic treatment: nodes near the disruption boundary receive treatment with probability between 0 and 1. The **Imbens-Kalyanaraman bandwidth** h* minimizes integrated MSE of the local linear estimator, balancing bias against variance. Identified confounders are separated from genuine causal propagation channels.

#### Tool 8: Multi-Scale Demand — Rao-Blackwellized Particle Filter

Decomposes demand into a **hierarchical state-space model** with trend, seasonal, and noise components at multiple time scales (daily → weekly → monthly → yearly). The **Rao-Blackwellization** marginalizes the linear-Gaussian substructure analytically (Kalman filter), using particles only for the nonlinear/non-Gaussian components. This dramatically reduces variance compared to a standard particle filter. The optimal base stock level is computed from the posterior predictive distribution to achieve the target service level.

### Architecture

````

Client ──► Express (port 3018) ──► McpServer factory
│
┌─────────────┼─────────────┐
▼             ▼             ▼
SSE transport  Streamable HTTP  Health endpoint
│             │
▼             ▼
getOrBuildNetwork() (5-min TTL cache)
│
┌───────────┼───────────┐
▼           ▼           ▼
17 Apify actors   Graph build   8 analysis tools
(parallel fetch)  (fusion)      (per-request)

````

### Usage

```bash
npm install
npm run build
npm start
````

Environment variables:

- `APIFY_TOKEN` — Apify API token for actor execution
- `PORT` — Server port (default: 3018)

### Endpoints

- `GET /sse` — SSE transport for MCP
- `POST /messages?sessionId=...` — SSE message handler
- `POST /mcp` — Streamable HTTP transport
- `GET /health` — Health check with network stats

# Actor input Schema

## Actor input object example

```json
{}
```

# API

You can run this Actor programmatically using our API. Below are code examples in JavaScript, Python, and CLI, as well as the OpenAPI specification and MCP server setup.

## JavaScript example

```javascript
import { ApifyClient } from 'apify-client';

// Initialize the ApifyClient with your Apify API token
// Replace the '<YOUR_API_TOKEN>' with your token
const client = new ApifyClient({
    token: '<YOUR_API_TOKEN>',
});

// Prepare Actor input
const input = {};

// Run the Actor and wait for it to finish
const run = await client.actor("ryanclinton/supply-chain-digital-twin-mcp").call(input);

// Fetch and print Actor results from the run's dataset (if any)
console.log('Results from dataset');
console.log(`💾 Check your data here: https://console.apify.com/storage/datasets/${run.defaultDatasetId}`);
const { items } = await client.dataset(run.defaultDatasetId).listItems();
items.forEach((item) => {
    console.dir(item);
});

// 📚 Want to learn more 📖? Go to → https://docs.apify.com/api/client/js/docs

```

## Python example

```python
from apify_client import ApifyClient

# Initialize the ApifyClient with your Apify API token
# Replace '<YOUR_API_TOKEN>' with your token.
client = ApifyClient("<YOUR_API_TOKEN>")

# Prepare the Actor input
run_input = {}

# Run the Actor and wait for it to finish
run = client.actor("ryanclinton/supply-chain-digital-twin-mcp").call(run_input=run_input)

# Fetch and print Actor results from the run's dataset (if there are any)
print("💾 Check your data here: https://console.apify.com/storage/datasets/" + run["defaultDatasetId"])
for item in client.dataset(run["defaultDatasetId"]).iterate_items():
    print(item)

# 📚 Want to learn more 📖? Go to → https://docs.apify.com/api/client/python/docs/quick-start

```

## CLI example

```bash
echo '{}' |
apify call ryanclinton/supply-chain-digital-twin-mcp --silent --output-dataset

```

## MCP server setup

```json
{
    "mcpServers": {
        "apify": {
            "command": "npx",
            "args": [
                "mcp-remote",
                "https://mcp.apify.com/?tools=ryanclinton/supply-chain-digital-twin-mcp",
                "--header",
                "Authorization: Bearer <YOUR_API_TOKEN>"
            ]
        }
    }
}

```

## OpenAPI specification

```json
{
    "openapi": "3.0.1",
    "info": {
        "title": "Supply Chain Digital Twin MCP",
        "description": "MCP intelligence server for supply chain digital twin detection and analysis.",
        "version": "1.0",
        "x-build-id": "TqeKUeQWTJT8ILHJj"
    },
    "servers": [
        {
            "url": "https://api.apify.com/v2"
        }
    ],
    "paths": {
        "/acts/ryanclinton~supply-chain-digital-twin-mcp/run-sync-get-dataset-items": {
            "post": {
                "operationId": "run-sync-get-dataset-items-ryanclinton-supply-chain-digital-twin-mcp",
                "x-openai-isConsequential": false,
                "summary": "Executes an Actor, waits for its completion, and returns Actor's dataset items in response.",
                "tags": [
                    "Run Actor"
                ],
                "requestBody": {
                    "required": true,
                    "content": {
                        "application/json": {
                            "schema": {
                                "$ref": "#/components/schemas/inputSchema"
                            }
                        }
                    }
                },
                "parameters": [
                    {
                        "name": "token",
                        "in": "query",
                        "required": true,
                        "schema": {
                            "type": "string"
                        },
                        "description": "Enter your Apify token here"
                    }
                ],
                "responses": {
                    "200": {
                        "description": "OK"
                    }
                }
            }
        },
        "/acts/ryanclinton~supply-chain-digital-twin-mcp/runs": {
            "post": {
                "operationId": "runs-sync-ryanclinton-supply-chain-digital-twin-mcp",
                "x-openai-isConsequential": false,
                "summary": "Executes an Actor and returns information about the initiated run in response.",
                "tags": [
                    "Run Actor"
                ],
                "requestBody": {
                    "required": true,
                    "content": {
                        "application/json": {
                            "schema": {
                                "$ref": "#/components/schemas/inputSchema"
                            }
                        }
                    }
                },
                "parameters": [
                    {
                        "name": "token",
                        "in": "query",
                        "required": true,
                        "schema": {
                            "type": "string"
                        },
                        "description": "Enter your Apify token here"
                    }
                ],
                "responses": {
                    "200": {
                        "description": "OK",
                        "content": {
                            "application/json": {
                                "schema": {
                                    "$ref": "#/components/schemas/runsResponseSchema"
                                }
                            }
                        }
                    }
                }
            }
        },
        "/acts/ryanclinton~supply-chain-digital-twin-mcp/run-sync": {
            "post": {
                "operationId": "run-sync-ryanclinton-supply-chain-digital-twin-mcp",
                "x-openai-isConsequential": false,
                "summary": "Executes an Actor, waits for completion, and returns the OUTPUT from Key-value store in response.",
                "tags": [
                    "Run Actor"
                ],
                "requestBody": {
                    "required": true,
                    "content": {
                        "application/json": {
                            "schema": {
                                "$ref": "#/components/schemas/inputSchema"
                            }
                        }
                    }
                },
                "parameters": [
                    {
                        "name": "token",
                        "in": "query",
                        "required": true,
                        "schema": {
                            "type": "string"
                        },
                        "description": "Enter your Apify token here"
                    }
                ],
                "responses": {
                    "200": {
                        "description": "OK"
                    }
                }
            }
        }
    },
    "components": {
        "schemas": {
            "inputSchema": {
                "type": "object",
                "properties": {}
            },
            "runsResponseSchema": {
                "type": "object",
                "properties": {
                    "data": {
                        "type": "object",
                        "properties": {
                            "id": {
                                "type": "string"
                            },
                            "actId": {
                                "type": "string"
                            },
                            "userId": {
                                "type": "string"
                            },
                            "startedAt": {
                                "type": "string",
                                "format": "date-time",
                                "example": "2025-01-08T00:00:00.000Z"
                            },
                            "finishedAt": {
                                "type": "string",
                                "format": "date-time",
                                "example": "2025-01-08T00:00:00.000Z"
                            },
                            "status": {
                                "type": "string",
                                "example": "READY"
                            },
                            "meta": {
                                "type": "object",
                                "properties": {
                                    "origin": {
                                        "type": "string",
                                        "example": "API"
                                    },
                                    "userAgent": {
                                        "type": "string"
                                    }
                                }
                            },
                            "stats": {
                                "type": "object",
                                "properties": {
                                    "inputBodyLen": {
                                        "type": "integer",
                                        "example": 2000
                                    },
                                    "rebootCount": {
                                        "type": "integer",
                                        "example": 0
                                    },
                                    "restartCount": {
                                        "type": "integer",
                                        "example": 0
                                    },
                                    "resurrectCount": {
                                        "type": "integer",
                                        "example": 0
                                    },
                                    "computeUnits": {
                                        "type": "integer",
                                        "example": 0
                                    }
                                }
                            },
                            "options": {
                                "type": "object",
                                "properties": {
                                    "build": {
                                        "type": "string",
                                        "example": "latest"
                                    },
                                    "timeoutSecs": {
                                        "type": "integer",
                                        "example": 300
                                    },
                                    "memoryMbytes": {
                                        "type": "integer",
                                        "example": 1024
                                    },
                                    "diskMbytes": {
                                        "type": "integer",
                                        "example": 2048
                                    }
                                }
                            },
                            "buildId": {
                                "type": "string"
                            },
                            "defaultKeyValueStoreId": {
                                "type": "string"
                            },
                            "defaultDatasetId": {
                                "type": "string"
                            },
                            "defaultRequestQueueId": {
                                "type": "string"
                            },
                            "buildNumber": {
                                "type": "string",
                                "example": "1.0.0"
                            },
                            "containerUrl": {
                                "type": "string"
                            },
                            "usage": {
                                "type": "object",
                                "properties": {
                                    "ACTOR_COMPUTE_UNITS": {
                                        "type": "integer",
                                        "example": 0
                                    },
                                    "DATASET_READS": {
                                        "type": "integer",
                                        "example": 0
                                    },
                                    "DATASET_WRITES": {
                                        "type": "integer",
                                        "example": 0
                                    },
                                    "KEY_VALUE_STORE_READS": {
                                        "type": "integer",
                                        "example": 0
                                    },
                                    "KEY_VALUE_STORE_WRITES": {
                                        "type": "integer",
                                        "example": 1
                                    },
                                    "KEY_VALUE_STORE_LISTS": {
                                        "type": "integer",
                                        "example": 0
                                    },
                                    "REQUEST_QUEUE_READS": {
                                        "type": "integer",
                                        "example": 0
                                    },
                                    "REQUEST_QUEUE_WRITES": {
                                        "type": "integer",
                                        "example": 0
                                    },
                                    "DATA_TRANSFER_INTERNAL_GBYTES": {
                                        "type": "integer",
                                        "example": 0
                                    },
                                    "DATA_TRANSFER_EXTERNAL_GBYTES": {
                                        "type": "integer",
                                        "example": 0
                                    },
                                    "PROXY_RESIDENTIAL_TRANSFER_GBYTES": {
                                        "type": "integer",
                                        "example": 0
                                    },
                                    "PROXY_SERPS": {
                                        "type": "integer",
                                        "example": 0
                                    }
                                }
                            },
                            "usageTotalUsd": {
                                "type": "number",
                                "example": 0.00005
                            },
                            "usageUsd": {
                                "type": "object",
                                "properties": {
                                    "ACTOR_COMPUTE_UNITS": {
                                        "type": "integer",
                                        "example": 0
                                    },
                                    "DATASET_READS": {
                                        "type": "integer",
                                        "example": 0
                                    },
                                    "DATASET_WRITES": {
                                        "type": "integer",
                                        "example": 0
                                    },
                                    "KEY_VALUE_STORE_READS": {
                                        "type": "integer",
                                        "example": 0
                                    },
                                    "KEY_VALUE_STORE_WRITES": {
                                        "type": "number",
                                        "example": 0.00005
                                    },
                                    "KEY_VALUE_STORE_LISTS": {
                                        "type": "integer",
                                        "example": 0
                                    },
                                    "REQUEST_QUEUE_READS": {
                                        "type": "integer",
                                        "example": 0
                                    },
                                    "REQUEST_QUEUE_WRITES": {
                                        "type": "integer",
                                        "example": 0
                                    },
                                    "DATA_TRANSFER_INTERNAL_GBYTES": {
                                        "type": "integer",
                                        "example": 0
                                    },
                                    "DATA_TRANSFER_EXTERNAL_GBYTES": {
                                        "type": "integer",
                                        "example": 0
                                    },
                                    "PROXY_RESIDENTIAL_TRANSFER_GBYTES": {
                                        "type": "integer",
                                        "example": 0
                                    },
                                    "PROXY_SERPS": {
                                        "type": "integer",
                                        "example": 0
                                    }
                                }
                            }
                        }
                    }
                }
            }
        }
    }
}
```
