NBA Value Bets vs Live Kalshi Prices
Compares the model's playoff probability for each NBA team against the live price of its Kalshi contract, and reports the edge, the expected value net of fees, and a quarter-Kelly position size capped per position and in total. Both sides of every contract are priced, so an overpriced favourite shows up as a chance to sell. Value calls stay locked until the season is ten games old.
Input
Output fields
Sign up on Apify or log in
The NBA Playoff Odds API — Monte Carlo Simulator & Value Bets Actor is ready to run with the inputs already set for "NBA Value Bets vs Live Kalshi Prices". Sign up or log in and you'll land in Apify Console with a copy of this exact task.
Start the "NBA Value Bets vs Live Kalshi Prices" task
The NBA Playoff Odds API — Monte Carlo Simulator & Value Bets Actor will start running based on the input automatically. You can also change all the input fields, like games played before value calls, edge threshold, and more, to match your specific use case.
Receive the "NBA Value Bets vs Live Kalshi Prices" output
Monitor the progress in real time. You will be notified as soon as your dataset is complete and ready for review. Each result includes data such as team, kalshi ticker, side, and more.
Integrate into your workflow
The final output is delivered in JSON, CSV, or Excel format, ready to be plugged into your workflow. You can also run the "NBA Value Bets vs Live Kalshi Prices" task via API.
