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NBA Value Bets vs Live Kalshi Prices

Compares the model's playoff probability for each NBA team against the live price of its Kalshi contract, and reports the edge, the expected value net of fees, and a quarter-Kelly position size capped per position and in total. Both sides of every contract are priced, so an overpriced favourite shows up as a chance to sell. Value calls stay locked until the season is ten games old.

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NBA Playoff Odds API — Monte Carlo Simulator & Value Bets
NBA Playoff Odds API — Monte Carlo Simulator & Value Betscommodus67/nba-playoff-odds-monte-carlo
Team
Kalshi ticker
Side
Price
+6 fields
Text
Number
Boolean
List
Object

Input

Games played before value calls:10
Edge threshold:0.05
Bankroll:1000
Max per position:5
Max total exposure:25

Output fields

Team
Kalshi ticker
Side
Price
Model %
Edge
EV / contract
Call
Contracts
Stake

How it works

Sign up on Apify01

Create your Apify account to access the NBA Playoff Odds API — Monte Carlo Simulator & Value Bets.

Start the run02

The Actor will start running based on the input automatically.

Receive the output03

Monitor the progress in real-time. You will be notified as soon as your dataset is complete and ready for review.

Integrate into your workflow04

The final output is delivered in JSON, CSV, or Excel format, ready to be plugged into your workflow.

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