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NHL Value Bets vs Live Kalshi Prices

Compares the model's playoff probability for each NHL team against the live Kalshi contract, strips the overround out of the market price, and reports the edge, the expected value after Kalshi's fees and a quarter-Kelly stake capped by position and portfolio limits. Before the league has played ten games per team, edges are still shown in full but no row is allowed to claim VALUE.

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NHL Playoff Odds API — Monte Carlo Simulator & Value Bets
NHL Playoff Odds API — Monte Carlo Simulator & Value Betscommodus67/nhl-playoff-odds-monte-carlo
Team
Model playoff %
Market playoff %
Edge
+6 fields
Text
Number
Boolean
List
Object

Input

Games needed before a VALUE call:10
Minimum edge to flag value:0.05
Bankroll for position sizing:1000
Max stake per position:0.02
Max total portfolio exposure:0.06

Output fields

Team
Model playoff %
Market playoff %
Edge
EV after fees
Verdict
Kelly uncapped
Stake % of bankroll
Suggested stake
Capped

How it works

Sign up on Apify01

Create your Apify account to access the NHL Playoff Odds API — Monte Carlo Simulator & Value Bets.

Start the run02

The Actor will start running based on the input automatically.

Receive the output03

Monitor the progress in real-time. You will be notified as soon as your dataset is complete and ready for review.

Integrate into your workflow04

The final output is delivered in JSON, CSV, or Excel format, ready to be plugged into your workflow.

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