🎯 Manifold Prediction Markets Scraper

🚀 Export live prediction markets from Manifold in seconds. Questions, current probabilities, volume, creator data, resolution status, and optional full descriptions. No API key, no registration.

The Manifold Prediction Markets Scraper pulls live data from Manifold.markets, the leading play-money prediction-market platform where users forecast everything from elections to AI benchmarks. Each record returns up to 30 fields: market question, current probability, slug and ID, creator profile, created/close/last-bet timestamps, outcome type (binary, multi-choice, date, numeric), automated market maker (AMM) state, total volume, 24-hour volume, total liquidity, unique bettor count, internal pool balances, and optional full HTML and text descriptions.

The Actor supports two modes. list walks the chronological feed using cursor pagination. search runs full-text queries with filters for resolution status (open, closed, resolved, closing-this-week, etc.) and 8 sort options. Manifold is used by forecasters, journalists, researchers, and AI safety teams to crowdsource probability estimates on real-world events, making it a rich source of structured forecast data.

🎯 Target Audience	💡 Primary Use Cases
Forecasting researchers, journalists, AI safety teams, prediction-market arbitrageurs, calibration scientists, news aggregators, betting analysts	Probability-feed dashboards, AI benchmark tracking, calibration studies, election-night feeds, news-event forecasting, market sentiment indicators, machine-learning training data

📋 What the Manifold Prediction Markets Scraper does

Two scraping modes plus rich filtering:

• 📋 List mode. Chronological feed across all public Manifold markets with cursor pagination.
• 🔍 Search mode. Full-text query with 8 sort orders (score, newest, liquidity, subsidy, last-updated, most-popular, resolve-date, close-date).
• 🏷️ State filters. All, open, closed, resolved, closing this month/week/day.
• 📝 Optional descriptions. Toggle fetchDescriptions to fetch full HTML and plain-text descriptions per market.

Each market record includes a stable market ID, canonical URL, exact question text, slug, creator ID/username/name/avatar, four timestamps (created, close, last-updated, last-bet), outcome type, mechanism (cpmm-1, cpmm-multi-1, etc.), resolution status with optional resolution value and probability, current probability, lifetime volume, 24-hour volume, total liquidity, unique bettor count, and the internal AMM pool state. With fetchDescriptions, you also get full HTML and plain-text market descriptions, optional answers array for multi-choice markets, group slugs, token symbol, and AMM configuration flags.

💡 Why it matters: prediction markets aggregate distributed knowledge into a single probability number. Manifold is the largest play-money platform with hundreds of new markets per day. Building a forecast feed yourself means parsing JSON, paging through cursors, and managing rate limits. This Actor returns clean structured rows ready for dashboards, calibration studies, or AI agent context windows.

📊 Data fields

Each record includes: closeTime, createdTime, creatorAvatarUrl, creatorId, creatorName, creatorUsername, id, isResolved, lastBetTime, lastUpdatedTime, mechanism, outcomeType, p, pool, probability, question, scrapedAt, slug, totalLiquidity, uniqueBettorCount, url, volume, volume24Hours. All 23 field names come from a real production run, so what you see here is what lands in your dataset.

🚀 How to use

1. 📝 Sign up. Create a free account with $5 credit (takes 2 minutes).
2. 🌐 Open the Actor. Go to the Manifold Prediction Markets Scraper page on the Apify Store.
3. 🎯 Set input. Pick list or search, optionally add a query, sort, filter, and maxItems.
4. 🚀 Run it. Click Start and let the Actor walk the markets feed.
5. 📥 Download. Grab your results in the Dataset tab as CSV, Excel, JSON, or XML.

⏱️ Total time from signup to downloaded dataset: 3-5 minutes. No coding required.

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💡 Pro Tip: browse the complete ParseForge collection for more forecasting and community-data scrapers.

⚠️ Disclaimer: this Actor is an independent tool and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by Manifold Markets Inc. or its users. All trademarks mentioned are the property of their respective owners. Only publicly available market data is collected. Manifold uses play-money tokens (MANA), not real currency.

🆘 Need Help?

If you hit a bug, have questions about setup, or need a scraper we haven't built yet, open our contact form or write to parseforge@protonmail.com. We also take on paid custom data projects.

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