Short-Term Rental Market Intelligence MCP

Airbnb/VRBO ADR, occupancy, RevPAR, STR investment scores, regulatory risk, and LTR vs. STR revenue comparisons across the top US vacation rental markets.

Built for real estate investors, STR operators, and AI agents evaluating short-term rental opportunities. Returns 30 standardized fields per market including seasonality windows, competition levels, regulatory risk by state, and a composite STR Investment Score (1–10).

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What It Returns

Field	Description
market_id	Unique market identifier (STR001–STR020)
city	City name
state	Two-letter state code
state_full	Full state name
market_type	Market category (Mountain Vacation, Theme Park, Gulf Coast Beach, etc.)
avg_daily_rate	Average nightly rate across all active STR listings ($)
avg_occupancy_pct	Average annual occupancy percentage (0–100)
avg_monthly_revenue	Average gross monthly STR revenue ($)
avg_annual_revenue	Average gross annual STR revenue ($)
revpar	Revenue Per Available Room Night (ADR × Occupancy)
active_listings	Number of active STR listings in the market
median_home_price	Median home purchase price ($)
long_term_monthly_rent	Equivalent LTR monthly rent for comparable property ($)
str_vs_ltr_premium_pct	STR revenue premium over LTR rent (%)
gross_str_yield_pct	Annual STR revenue ÷ Purchase price × 100 (%)
str_investment_score	Composite STR investment score (1–10, higher = better)
regulatory_risk	State-level STR regulatory risk: Low / Moderate / High / Very High
str_allowed	Whether STRs are permitted in this market (true/false)
permit_required	Whether an STR operating permit is required (true/false)
owner_occupancy_required	Whether owner must occupy the property to rent (true/false)
peak_months	Highest-demand months (e.g., "Jun–Aug, Nov–Dec")
shoulder_months	Moderate-demand months
low_months	Weakest-demand months
top_amenities	Amenities that drive bookings in this market
avg_star_rating	Average guest rating across market listings (1–5)
superhosts_pct	Percentage of listings held by Airbnb Superhosts
competition_level	Market saturation: Low / Moderate / High / Very High
yoy_revenue_growth_pct	Year-over-year revenue trend (%) — negative = contracting
break_even_occupancy_pct	Occupancy % needed to cover mortgage + operating costs
notes	Analyst notes: regulatory warnings, demand drivers, key risks

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STR Investment Score (1–10)

The score is a composite of three factors:

Factor	Points
Occupancy ≥ 75%	+3
Occupancy ≥ 65%	+2
Occupancy ≥ 55%	+1
ADR ≥ $300	+3
ADR ≥ $200	+2
ADR ≥ $150	+1
State regulation = Low	+2
State regulation = Moderate	+1
State regulation = High	0
State regulation = Very High	−2

Score is clamped to 1–10. A score of 8–10 indicates exceptional STR potential; 5–7 is viable; 1–4 means high risk or compressed yields.

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Regulatory Risk by State

Risk Level	States
Low	TN, FL, TX (most markets), SC, GA (most), MO, AL, AR, OK, KS, MS, ND, SD, WY, MT, ID, NV (most), UT (most)
Moderate	GA, CO (some), NC (some), AZ, NM, VA, MD, OH, IN, MI, WI, MN, IA, NE, KY, WV
High	CA (most markets), NY, WA, OR, IL, MA, NJ, CT, RI, NH, VT, ME, DE, HI, Nashville TN
Very High	NYC, SF, LA, Denver CO, Honolulu HI, New Orleans (French Quarter)

⚠️ Always verify local ordinances — city-level rules often supersede state-level risk ratings. Asheville NC and Denver CO require owner-occupancy for STR permits.

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Input Parameters

Parameter	Type	Required	Description
city	string	No	Filter by city name (partial match, case-insensitive)
state	string	No	Filter by state code (e.g., "TN", "FL")
market_type	string	No	Filter by market category (e.g., "Mountain Vacation")
str_investment_score_min	integer	No	Minimum STR investment score (1–10)
regulatory_risk_max	string	No	Maximum regulatory risk to include: "Low", "Moderate", "High", "Very High"
gross_str_yield_min_pct	number	No	Minimum gross STR yield percentage
avg_monthly_revenue_min	number	No	Minimum average monthly STR revenue ($)
sort_by	string	No	Sort field: str_investment_score (default), avg_monthly_revenue, gross_str_yield_pct
limit	integer	No	Maximum results to return (default: 20)

All sort orders are descending (best first).

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Example Inputs

Find the safest high-yield STR markets:

{
  "str_investment_score_min": 8,
  "regulatory_risk_max": "Low",
  "sort_by": "gross_str_yield_pct",
  "limit": 10
}

Tennessee mountain cabin markets only:

{
  "state": "TN",
  "market_type": "Mountain Vacation"
}

High-revenue markets above $6K/month:

{
  "avg_monthly_revenue_min": 6000,
  "sort_by": "avg_monthly_revenue",
  "limit": 10
}

Specific market deep-dive:

{
  "city": "Gatlinburg",
  "state": "TN"
}

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Example Output

{
  "market_id": "STR020",
  "city": "Broken Bow",
  "state": "OK",
  "state_full": "Oklahoma",
  "market_type": "Cabin & Nature Escape",
  "avg_daily_rate": 228,
  "avg_occupancy_pct": 76,
  "avg_monthly_revenue": 5212,
  "avg_annual_revenue": 62544,
  "revpar": 173,
  "active_listings": 2840,
  "median_home_price": 315000,
  "long_term_monthly_rent": 1200,
  "str_vs_ltr_premium_pct": 334,
  "gross_str_yield_pct": 19.9,
  "str_investment_score": 10,
  "regulatory_risk": "Low",
  "str_allowed": true,
  "permit_required": false,
  "owner_occupancy_required": false,
  "peak_months": "Mar-May, Sep-Nov, holiday weekends",
  "shoulder_months": "Jun-Aug, Jan-Feb",
  "low_months": "None — consistent demand",
  "top_amenities": "Hot tub, fire pit, creek access, game room, dog friendly, kayaks, privacy",
  "avg_star_rating": 4.83,
  "superhosts_pct": 52,
  "competition_level": "Low",
  "yoy_revenue_growth_pct": 8.4,
  "break_even_occupancy_pct": 24,
  "notes": "Hidden gem: highest yield in dataset; no permit required; low competition; strong year-round demand"
}

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Top 5 Markets by STR Investment Score

Rank	Market	Score	Yield	ADR	Occ%	Reg. Risk
1	Broken Bow, OK	10	19.9%	$228	76%	Low
2	Gatlinburg, TN	9	17.1%	$248	74%	Low
3	Pigeon Forge, TN	9	13.3%	$218	72%	Low
4	Sedona, AZ	8	12.5%	$388	70%	Low
5	New Orleans, LA	8	16.5%	$188	72%	High
5	Savannah, GA	8	13.9%	$198	68%	Moderate
5	Branson, MO	8	15.8%	$168	64%	Low
5	Gulf Shores, AL	8	14.5%	$238	66%	Low

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Data Sources

• Inside Airbnb — public listing data for enabled cities (data.insideairbnb.com)
• AirDNA — market-level ADR and occupancy benchmarks (public reports)
• Rabbu — STR revenue estimates by market (public data)
• STR industry reports (2025–2026) — curated fallback database
• State STR regulatory databases — legislative tracker for permit requirements

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Pricing

Pay-per-event (PPE). Each market record returned = 1 event.

Volume	Price
1–100 records	$0.005/record
100–1,000 records	$0.003/record
1,000+ records	$0.002/record

Full 20-market database costs less than $0.10.

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Use Cases

• STR investment screening — filter by score, yield, and regulatory risk before underwriting a deal
• Market comparison — compare ADR/occupancy across comparable vacation markets
• AI agent integration — feed STR data into LLM workflows for property acquisition analysis
• Regulatory risk triage — identify markets where owner-occupancy or permit requirements apply
• LTR vs. STR decision — use str_vs_ltr_premium_pct to quantify the STR arbitrage opportunity

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Related Actors in the Real Estate Suite

• ../real-estate-intelligence-mcp/ — Property listings, deal scoring, and investment metrics
• ../rentcast-market-mcp/ — Long-term rental estimates, vacancy rates, and comparables