PrizePicks Props & Player Prop +EV Finder vs Sportsbooks

Puts every PrizePicks line next to the same player prop at DraftKings, FanDuel, Caesars, BetMGM, Fanatics, bet365, BetRivers, Hard Rock Bet, Parx and more. It works out the chance of More or Less at the PrizePicks number from the sportsbooks' no-vig prices, and finds +EV bets and arbitrage on sportsbook player props.

NBA, NFL, NCAA Football, NCAA Basketball, WNBA, MLB and NHL. Points, rebounds, assists, PRA, threes, passing/rushing/receiving yards, receptions, strikeouts, shots and every other over/under player prop the books list. A run takes seconds.

Contents

• Why this finder
• How the pick chance and edge are worked out
• Output
• Input
• Input examples
• Use it from an AI assistant
• Good to know
• FAQ

✅ Why this finder

• PrizePicks lines checked against the market. A PrizePicks line is a number with no price; the sportsbooks' over and under odds at the same number say how likely More or Less really is.
• Many sportsbooks, each counted once. DraftKings in 15 states is one opinion, not 15.
• Bad prices filtered out. A book that prices a prop far from every other book (a stale or mislabelled line) is dropped from that line instead of showing up as a fake edge or arbitrage.
• Sportsbook props too. The same run finds +EV over/unders and over/under arbitrage between books.
• Your books only. Pick the sportsbooks you can bet at; bets are only suggested there.
• Best first. Strongest PrizePicks picks first, then arbitrage, then the highest edges.

🧮 How the pick chance and edge are worked out

1. For every player, stat and number, each sportsbook's over and under prices are turned into probabilities and its margin (the "vig") is removed.
2. The fair chance of over and under is the median across books.
3. PrizePicks picks: the chance of More and Less at the PrizePicks number, from the books that offer that exact number (at least 2). If too few do, the row shows the sportsbooks' line and the difference instead (PrizePicks 54.5 receiving yards, books at 61.5: the books expect more).
4. Edge (EV %) for sportsbook bets = fair chance × decimal odds − 1.
5. Arbitrage: an over at one book and an under at another whose prices add up to less than 100%.

📋 Output

Rows are pick (a PrizePicks line), bet (one side of a sportsbook prop) or arbitrage. The Output tab's Picks and bets view shows them as a table.

PrizePicks pick:

{
  "row_type": "pick",
  "league": "nfl",
  "start_time": "2026-11-01T18:00:00.000Z",
  "player": "Keon Coleman",
  "player_team": "Buffalo Bills",
  "stat": "receptions",
  "stat_name": "Receptions",
  "app": "PrizePicks",
  "app_line": 2.5,
  "selection": "Keon Coleman Less 2.5 Receptions",
  "pick": "less",
  "pick_probability_pct": 56.63,
  "over_probability_pct": 43.37,
  "under_probability_pct": 56.63,
  "fair_price_books": ["Caesars", "DraftKings", "FanDuel", "Parx"],
  "sportsbook_line": 2.5,
  "line_difference": 0,
  "sportsbook_lines": [
    {"book": "DraftKings", "line": 2.5, "over_odds_american": 122, "under_odds_american": -156},
    {"book": "FanDuel", "line": 2.5, "over_odds_american": 112, "under_odds_american": -148}
  ],
  "scanned_at": "2026-10-28T07:08:02Z"
}

+EV sportsbook prop:

{
  "row_type": "bet",
  "league": "nfl",
  "player": "Justice Hill",
  "stat_name": "Receptions",
  "line": 1.5,
  "side": "under",
  "selection": "Justice Hill Under 1.5 Receptions",
  "fair_probability_pct": 42.66,
  "best_book": "bet365",
  "best_odds_american": 150,
  "ev_pct": 6.66,
  "prices": [
    {"book": "bet365", "odds_american": 150, "ev_pct": 6.66},
    {"book": "Bet99", "odds_american": 145, "ev_pct": 4.52}
  ]
}

Arbitrage rows have legs: the book, odds and stake share for the over and the under.

Every row also has the game id, start time (UTC), teams, the game's Action Network page and the time the odds were read. Download as JSON, CSV or Excel, or read it through the Apify API.

⚙️ Input

Parameter	Default	Description
leagues	all 7	nfl, ncaaf, nba, ncaab, wnba, mlb, nhl.
opportunities	all	dfsPicks, positiveEv, arbitrage.
stats	all	e.g. points, pra, 3fgm, passing_yards, receptions.
players	all	Names or parts of names, e.g. ["Jokic", "Mahomes"].
minPickProbabilityPct	54	Smallest chance of More/Less for a pick to be returned.
minLineDifferencePct	5	For picks no book prices at the same number: smallest line difference, in % of the line.
books	all	Only suggest bets at these sportsbooks.
minEvPct	2	Smallest edge for a sportsbook bet, in %.
maxEdgePct	20	Hide edges and arbitrage above this % (nearly always a stale price). null = show all.
daysAhead	0	Daily leagues: also scan this many days after today. NFL/NCAAF always scan this week.
startsWithinHours	none	Only games starting within this many hours.
allOutcomes	false	For the selected types: every PrizePicks line and every sportsbook prop side, edge or not.
minBooks	3	Books needed for a sportsbook prop's fair price (PrizePicks picks need one fewer, at least 2).
devigMethod	multiplicative	Or power.
maxItems	50	Max rows, best first. null = all.

🧪 Input examples

Tonight's best NBA PrizePicks picks:

{ "leagues": ["nba"], "opportunities": ["dfsPicks"], "maxItems": null }

Every NFL receiving-yards line this week, PrizePicks next to the books:

{ "leagues": ["nfl"], "stats": ["receiving_yards"], "opportunities": ["dfsPicks"], "allOutcomes": true, "maxItems": null }

+EV player props at DraftKings and FanDuel only:

{ "leagues": ["nba", "nfl"], "opportunities": ["positiveEv"], "books": ["DraftKings", "FanDuel"], "maxItems": null }

One player:

{ "leagues": ["nba"], "players": ["Jokic"], "allOutcomes": true, "maxItems": null }

🤖 Use it from an AI assistant

Connect Claude, ChatGPT, Cursor or any MCP client to Apify's MCP server and this Actor becomes a tool it can call:

• "Best PrizePicks plays in the NBA tonight?" → leagues: ["nba"], opportunities: ["dfsPicks"]
• "What do the books say about Jokic's PRA line?" → players: ["Jokic"], stats: ["pra"], allOutcomes: true
• "Any player prop arbitrage in the NFL this week?" → leagues: ["nfl"], opportunities: ["arbitrage"]

Every run's status message sums it up ("26 games, 2362 player props (620 DFS lines) scanned: 5 DFS picks at 54.0%+, 36 arbitrage, 65 +EV of 2.0%+"), and rows come back best first.

ℹ️ Good to know

• PrizePicks lines come from Action Network's odds feed, which lists a share of PrizePicks' board (in testing ~20–60 lines per NFL game and fewer per NBA game; it varies through the day). The feed sometimes drops every PrizePicks line for a few minutes; a run that lands in such a gap waits and checks again (up to 3 minutes) before returning sportsbook rows only. Underdog and Sleeper are requested too and used when the feed lists them; at launch it listed none. Demons and goblins (alternative-payout lines) aren't included.
• Prices move fast. Rows carry scanned_at; check the line before you play it.
• Only over/under props. Yes/no props (anytime touchdown, double-double, "X or more" milestones) have no under to remove the margin with, so they're skipped.
• Games that have started are skipped. In-play prices lag.
• Each book counts once per number; bet365, BetVictor and Bet99 often post identical prop lines.
• bet365 is most often the best price on props, and on prop arbitrage. Check that its line is still up before betting the other side.
• This is data, not betting advice. Play only where it's legal for you.

❓ FAQ

What does "pick chance 56%" mean? By the sportsbooks' prices with their margin removed, that side of the PrizePicks line wins 56% of the time. Whether that's enough depends on your entry type: commonly quoted break-evens are about 54.2% for 5- and 6-pick Flex and 57.7% for a 2-pick Power Play.

Why does a pick have no chance, only a line difference? Fewer than 2 sportsbooks offer that exact number. The books' own line (sportsbook_line) and the gap still show which side they lean to.

How often should I run it? Lines move most in the last hours before a game. Every 10–15 minutes with startsWithinHours set works well, with an Apify Schedule and a webhook or Slack/email integration for alerts.

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