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MLB Futures Bet Sizing with Quarter Kelly

Sizes MLB futures positions instead of just flagging them. Quarter-Kelly stakes on a 10,000 bankroll, capped at 3 percent per position and 9 percent across the whole book, so at most three bets fit. Swap in your own market prices and the output returns the stake, the uncapped Kelly fraction and a flag when the portfolio limit bites.

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MLB Playoff Odds API — Monte Carlo Simulator & Value Bets
MLB Playoff Odds API — Monte Carlo Simulator & Value Betscommodus67/mlb-playoff-odds-monte-carlo
Team
Model playoff %
Market playoff %
Playoff edge
+5 fields
Text
Number
Boolean
List
Object

Input

Monte Carlo iterations:20000
Regression to the mean, in games:70
Weight on run differential:0.6
Home field advantage (log-odds):0.16
Strength uncertainty:0.1
Minimum edge to flag value:0.03
Bankroll for position sizing:10000
Max stake per position:0.03
Max total portfolio exposure:0.09
Market probabilities (optional)
team:New York Yankees+1
market:playoff+1
impliedProbability:0.92+1

Output fields

Team
Model playoff %
Market playoff %
Playoff edge
Fee per contract
Net EV
Model division %
Value
Recommendation

How it works

Sign up on Apify01

Create your Apify account to access the MLB Playoff Odds API — Monte Carlo Simulator & Value Bets.

Start the run02

The Actor will start running based on the input automatically.

Receive the output03

Monitor the progress in real-time. You will be notified as soon as your dataset is complete and ready for review.

Integrate into your workflow04

The final output is delivered in JSON, CSV, or Excel format, ready to be plugged into your workflow.

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