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MLB Playoff Odds from Run Differential Only
Runs the model on run differential alone, ignoring the win-loss column entirely. Runs scored and runs allowed predict future wins better than the record does, because a one-run win and a blowout count the same in the standings. Compare this table with the default blend to see which teams the standings are flattering.
MLB Playoff Odds API — Monte Carlo Simulator & Value Betscommodus67/mlb-playoff-odds-monte-carlo
Division
Team
Projected wins
Division %
+2 fieldsTextNumberBooleanListObject
Input
Monte Carlo iterations:20000
Regression to the mean, in games:70
Weight on run differential:1
Home field advantage (log-odds):0.16
Strength uncertainty:0.1
Minimum edge to flag value:0.05
Bankroll for position sizing:1000
Max stake per position:0.02
Max total portfolio exposure:0.06
Market probabilities (optional)
Output fields
Division
Team
Projected wins
Division %
Wild card %
Playoff %
Sign up on Apify01
Create your Apify account to access the MLB Playoff Odds API — Monte Carlo Simulator & Value Bets.
Start the run02
The Actor will start running based on the input automatically.
Receive the output03
Monitor the progress in real-time. You will be notified as soon as your dataset is complete and ready for review.
Integrate into your workflow04
The final output is delivered in JSON, CSV, or Excel format, ready to be plugged into your workflow.
