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MLB Playoff Odds Backtest 2025 Season

Replay the finished 2025 Major League Baseball season 20,000 times and see what the model gave every team: division, wild card, playoff and top-seed probabilities plus projected win totals. Score the model against what actually happened before you trust it on the current season.

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MLB Playoff Odds API — Monte Carlo Simulator & Value Bets
MLB Playoff Odds API — Monte Carlo Simulator & Value Betscommodus67/mlb-playoff-odds-monte-carlo
Division
Team
Projected wins
Division %
+2 fields
Text
Number
Boolean
List
Object

Input

Monte Carlo iterations:20000
Season year (optional):2025
Regression to the mean, in games:70
Weight on run differential:0.6
Home field advantage (log-odds):0.16
Strength uncertainty:0.1
Minimum edge to flag value:0.05
Bankroll for position sizing:1000
Max stake per position:0.02
Max total portfolio exposure:0.06
Market probabilities (optional)

Output fields

Division
Team
Projected wins
Division %
Wild card %
Playoff %

How it works

Sign up on Apify01

Create your Apify account to access the MLB Playoff Odds API — Monte Carlo Simulator & Value Bets.

Start the run02

The Actor will start running based on the input automatically.

Receive the output03

Monitor the progress in real-time. You will be notified as soon as your dataset is complete and ready for review.

Integrate into your workflow04

The final output is delivered in JSON, CSV, or Excel format, ready to be plugged into your workflow.

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