Go to example tasks
NFL Playoff Odds from Point Differential Only
Created by
ELIO LIBERATORE
Ignore the win-loss record entirely and build every team's strength from points scored and allowed. Point differential predicts future wins better than the record does over a 17-game season, so this run shows which teams the standings are flattering and which they are hiding.
NFL Playoff Odds API - Monte Carlo Simulatorcommodus67/nfl-playoff-odds-api-monte-carlo-simulator
Team
GP
W
L
+8 fieldsTextNumberBooleanListObject
Input
Monte Carlo iterations:20000
Regression to the mean, in games:6
Weight on point differential:1
Home field advantage (log-odds):0.2
Strength uncertainty:0.16
Probability of a tie:0.004
Minimum edge to flag value:0.05
Bankroll for position sizing:1000
Max stake per position:0.02
Max total portfolio exposure:0.06
Market probabilities (optional)
Output fields
Team
GP
W
L
T
Remaining
PF
PA
Diff
Actual win %
Pythagorean win %
True talent win %
Sign up on Apify01
Create your Apify account to access the NFL Playoff Odds API - Monte Carlo Simulator.
Start the run02
The Actor will start running based on the input automatically.
Receive the output03
Monitor the progress in real-time. You will be notified as soon as your dataset is complete and ready for review.
Integrate into your workflow04
The final output is delivered in JSON, CSV, or Excel format, ready to be plugged into your workflow.
