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Metaculus Questions Scraper

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Metaculus Questions Scraper

Metaculus Questions Scraper

Browse forecasting questions on Metaculus filtered by status, sort, or free text search. Each question carries id, title, category, status, close_time, community_prediction, and num_predictions. Useful for AI safety research, geopolitics tracking, and forecast aggregation.

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from $7.50 / 1,000 results

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ParseForge

ParseForge

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🔮 Metaculus Questions Scraper

🚀 Export Metaculus forecasting questions in seconds, including community predictions, prediction counts, categories, and resolution dates, straight from the public api2 endpoint.

🕒 Last updated: 2026-05-29 · 📊 12 fields per record · 50,000+ Metaculus questions · Crowdsourced forecasting

The Metaculus Questions Scraper turns the Metaculus public api2/questions/ endpoint into a clean dataset. It walks the cursor-paginated feed, filters by status and free-text search, and emits one row per question with the community median prediction, category, and timing.

🎯 Target Audience💡 Primary Use Cases
🔮 ForecastersCalibration & track records
📊 ResearchersWisdom-of-crowds datasets
🏢 Hedge fundsTail-risk signal monitoring
🤖 ML researchersForecast aggregation training
📰 JournalistsReal-world probability quotes
👩‍💻 DevelopersMirror Metaculus locally

📋 What the Metaculus Questions Scraper does

  • Calls https://www.metaculus.com/api2/questions/ with status, search, and ordering filters.
  • Walks pagination until maxItems is reached.
  • Extracts community median prediction, prediction count, categories, close & resolve times.
  • Exports as CSV, Excel, JSON, JSONL, XML, RSS, or HTML.

💡 Why it matters: Metaculus is the largest serious forecasting community on the internet. Their community predictions are battle-tested calibration sources.

🎬 Full Demo

🚧 Coming soon.

⚙️ Input

FieldTypeRequiredDescription
maxItemsintegerNoFree 10, paid up to 1M.
statusenumNoopen, closed, resolved, all.
searchstringNoFull-text query.
orderByenumNoSort order.

Example 1:

{ "status": "open", "orderBy": "-vote_score", "maxItems": 50 }

Example 2:

{ "search": "AI", "status": "open" }

⚠️ Good to Know: The Metaculus api2 endpoint is public. No key required.

📊 Output

FieldTypeDescription
🆔 idnumberQuestion ID.
📛 titlestringQuestion title.
🔗 urlstringPublic URL.
🟢 statusstringopen/closed/resolved.
🏷️ categorystringComma-joined categories.
close_timestringWhen forecasting closes.
🔮 community_predictionnumberCommunity median (q2).
🧮 num_predictionsnumberTotal predictions count.
🕒 scrapedAtstringWhen fetched.
errorstringError if upstream failed.

Sample record:

{
"id": 12345,
"title": "Will AGI be declared before 2030?",
"url": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/12345/",
"status": "open",
"category": "AI, Tech",
"close_time": "2029-12-31T23:59:00Z",
"community_prediction": 0.18,
"num_predictions": 4521,
"scrapedAt": "2026-05-29T13:00:00.000Z",
"error": null
}

✨ Why choose this Actor

| 🆓 | Public Metaculus api2, no key. | | 🔮 | Pulls community median directly. | | 🔢 | Numeric casting on every numeric field. | | 🛟 | Errors surfaced cleanly. | | 🔌 | Status, search, sort filters. | | 💾 | CSV / Excel / JSON / XML / RSS / HTML. |

📈 How it compares to alternatives

ApproachSetupPagination?Filter?Errors?
Raw fetch20 minmanualmanual
Custom scraper1 hrpartialpartial
This Actor5 sec

🚀 How to use

  1. Click Try for free.
  2. Pick a status / search.
  3. Click Start.

💼 Business use cases

📊 Tail-risk monitoring. Watch AI, geopolitics, biosecurity questions for tail signals.

💼 Calibration research. Build calibration plots vs Metaculus community.

📰 Newsroom. Quote crowd probabilities in stories.

🤖 ML. Train forecast aggregation models.

🔌 Automating Metaculus Questions Scraper

  • Make / Zapier to Airtable / Slack.
  • Cron schedule native Apify.
  • Webhooks on completion.
  • Pipe to BigQuery / Snowflake / Postgres.

🌟 Beyond business use cases

🎓 Education. Teach forecasting / Bayesian inference.

🧪 Personal research. Track your interest area.

🤝 Open data. Public forecast dashboards.

🧰 Prototyping. Quick feed.

🤖 Ask an AI assistant about this scraper

Drop this README into ChatGPT or Claude.

❓ Frequently Asked Questions

❓ API key? None.

❓ Pagination? Cursor-paginated, fully walked.

❓ Filter? Yes - status, search, sort.

❓ Cast? Yes.

❓ Errors? Clean {error} record.

❓ Schedule? Yes.

❓ Scraping or API? Public api2.

❓ Schema stable? Yes.

❓ Formats? CSV, Excel, JSON, JSONL, XML, RSS, HTML.

❓ Coverage? All Metaculus questions.

🔌 Integrate with any app

Apify integrations with Make, Zapier, Slack, Discord, Google Drive, Google Sheets, Gmail, Airbyte, Keboola, Telegram, GitHub, REST/webhook.

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